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To promote transparency and provide information, the Federal Planning Bureau regularly publishes the methods and results of its works. The publications are organised in different series, such as Outlooks, Working Papers and Planning Papers. Some reports can be consulted here, along with the Short Term Update newsletters that were published until 2015. You can search our publications by theme, publication type, author and year.
This Working Paper analyses various alternative population projections. The first approach shows the impact of alternative future development scenarios for the population growth components. The effects of some of these scenarios on the development in social expenditure and the at-risk-of-poverty rate for pensioners are also analysed. The second approach consists in carrying out a sensitivity analysis of the population projection to some model parameters, in particular the observation periods selected to estimate trends.
The Working Paper presents a study or analysis conducted by the Federal Planning Bureau on its own initiative.
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Themes
Social protection, demography and prospective studies > Study Committee on Ageing
Social protection, demography and prospective studies > Demographic projections
Social protection, demography and prospective studies > Income distribution and poverty
Social protection, demography and prospective studies > Financial developments for social protection
JEL
Labor and Demographic Economics > Demographic Economics > Demographic Trends and Forecasts [J11]
Keywords
None
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