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To promote transparency and provide information, the Federal Planning Bureau regularly publishes the methods and results of its works. The publications are organised in different series, such as Outlooks, Working Papers and Planning Papers. Some reports can be consulted here, along with the Short Term Update newsletters that were published until 2015. You can search our publications by theme, publication type, author and year.
The Federal Planning Bureau's econometric model HERMES will be used to calculate the macroeconomic and budgetary impact of each political party's set of priority measures over the next legislature. This working paper summarises the characteristics of the model and describes its structure and main transmission mechanisms. It then illustrates the functioning of the model using several economic policy variants. Finally, this working paper describes the procedure for constructing the reference scenario and presents the main results of the June 2023 economic outlook. Those forecasts constitute the prefiguration of the reference scenario which will be published in February 2024, covering the period 2024-2029.
The Working Paper presents a study or analysis conducted by the Federal Planning Bureau on its own initiative.
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Themes
DC - Doorrekening-Chiffrage > DC2024 - Doorrekening-Chiffrage 2024
Public finances
Labour market
Macroeconomic forecasts and analyses
JEL
Methodology and History of Economic Thought > History of Economic Thought since 1925 > Macroeconomics [B22]
Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > Econometric Modeling > Forecasting and Other Model Applications [C53]
Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > General Aggregative Models > Forecasting and Simulation [E17]
Keywords
None
Federal Planning Bureau
